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CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı

Year 2023, Volume: 8 Issue: "Cumhuriyet'in 100. Yılında Türkiye'nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı, 137 - 152, 29.10.2023

Zerrin Dürrü Gökhan Konat

https://doi.org/10.25204/iktisad.1149267

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, ekosistemi tek yönlü inceleyen çalışmalardan farklı olarak iki yönlü ele alan ekolojik denge aracılığıyla incelemektir. İncelemede stokastik yakınsama metodu kullanılmıştır. 1961-2018 dönemi için dinamik nüfus ve güçlü bir iç ekonomik yapıya sahip CIVETS ülkeleri araştırma için seçilmiştir. Kişi başı biyokapasite ile kişi başı ekolojik ayak izi farkı alınarak ekolojik denge yakınsaması test edilmiştir. Geleneksel birim kök testi ADF’nin yanında sonuçları sağlamlaştırmak adına Fourier ADF, farklı kantillerde durum tespiti için Kantil ve Fourier Kantil birim kök testleri kullanılarak araştırma yapılmıştır. Fourier QKS (Quantile Kolmogorov-Simirnov) birim kök testleri sonuçlarında, standart QKS test sonuçlarına nispeten daha fazla yakınsaklık bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır. Fourier kantil birim kök testi sonuçları, incelenen tüm CIVETS ülkeleri için ekolojik dengede yakınsamanın gerçekleştiğine işaret etmektedir. Sonuç olarak, CIVETS ülkelerindeki ekolojik dengeyi etkileyen nüfus artışı, hızlı sanayileşme, fosil yakıt kullanımı gibi unsurların, ekosistemi dengelemede ve eşitlemede temel politika alanları olduğu belirlenmiştir.

Keywords

Ekolojik denge ekolojik ayak izi biyokapasite Fourier kantil birim kök testi yakınsama

References

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Stochastic Convergence of Ecological Balance in CIVETS Countries: The Fourier Quantile Unit Root Test Approach

Year 2023, Volume: 8 Issue: "Cumhuriyet'in 100. Yılında Türkiye'nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı, 137 - 152, 29.10.2023

Zerrin Dürrü Gökhan Konat

https://doi.org/10.25204/iktisad.1149267

Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine the ecosystem through ecological equilibrium, which deals with the ecosystem in two directions, unlike studies that examine it in one direction. Stochastic convergence method is used in the analysis. For the period 1961-2018, CIVETS countries with dynamic populations and a strong domestic economic structure were selected for the study. Ecological balance convergence is tested by taking the difference between biocapacity per capita and ecological footprint per capita. In addition to the traditional ADF unit root test, Fourier ADF, Quantile and Fourier Quantile unit root tests were used to robustify the results. The results of the Fourier QKS (Quantile Kolmogorov-Simirnov) unit root tests show more convergence than the standard QKS test results. The results of Fourier quantile unit root tests indicate that convergence in ecological balance has been realized for all CIVETS countries. As a result, factors affecting the ecological balance in CIVETS countries such as population growth, rapid industrialization and fossil fuel use have been identified as key policy areas in balancing and equalizing the ecosystem.

Keywords

Ecological balance ecological footprint biologic capacity Fourier quantile unit root test convergence

References

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  • Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Chang, T., Chen, T. H. ve Tzeng, H. W. (2017). Revisiting purchasing power parity in Eastern European countries: Quantile unit root tests. Empirical Economics, 52, 463-483. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1099-z
  • Barassi, M. R., Cole, M. A. ve Elliott, R. J. R. (2008). Stochastic divergence or convergence of per capita carbondioxide emissions: Re-examining the evidence. Environment Resources Economics, 40 (1), 121–137. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-007- 9144-1
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  • Bello, M. O., Erdogan, S. ve Ch’Ng, K. S. (2022). On the convergence of ecological footprint in African countries: New evidences from panel stationarity tests with factors and gradual shifts, Journal of Environmental Management, 322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116061
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  • Bilgili, F. ve Ulucak, R. (2018). Is there deterministic, stochastic, and/or club convergence in ecological footprint indicator among G20 countries? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, (25), 35404–35419. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-3457-1
  • Bilgili, F., Ulucak, R. ve Koçak, E. (2019). Implications of environmental convergence: Continental evidence based: Energy and Environmental Strategies in the Era of Globalization. Springer, Cham. 133–165.
  • Borucke, M., Moore, D., Cranston, G., Gracey, K., Iha, K., Larson, J., Lazarus, E., Morales, J. C., Wackernagel, M. ve Galli, A. (2013). Accounting for demand and supply of the biosphere’s regenerative capacity: The national footprint accounts’ underlying methodology and framework. Journal of Ecological Indicators, (24), 518–533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2012.08.005
  • Cai, Y., Chang, T. ve Inglesi-Lotz, R. (2018). Asymmetric persistence in convergence for carbon dioxide emissions based on quantile unit root test with Fourier function. Energy, (161), 470–481. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.07.125
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  • Churchill, S.A., Inekwe, J. ve Ivanovski, K. (2020). Stochastic convergence in per capita CO2 emissions: Evidence from emerging economies, 1921–2014. Energy Economics, (86), 104659. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.Eneco.2019.104659
  • Çağlar, A. E. ve Mert, M. (2022). Türkiye’de karbon histeri hipotezi geçerli midir?: Fourier birim kök testlerinden kanıtlar. Fiscaoeconomia, 6(3), 1587-1610. https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.1119030
  • Dickey, D. A. ve Fuller, W. A. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of The Econometric Society, 1057-1072. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912517.
  • Enders, W. ve Lee, J. (2012). The flexible Fourier form and Dickey–Fuller type unit root tests. Economics Letters, 117(1), 196-199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.04.081.
  • Erdogan, S. Pata, U. K., Solarin, S. A. ve Okumus, I. (2022). On the persistence of shocks to global CO2 emissions: A historical data perspective (0 to 2014). Environment Science Pollution Research. https://doi.org/ 10.1007/s11356-022-21278-8
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Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Environment and Culture, Economics
Journal Section Research Papers
Authors

Zerrin Dürrü 0000-0002-7013-7550

Gökhan Konat 0000-0002-0964-7893

Early Pub Date October 25, 2023
Publication Date October 29, 2023
Submission Date July 26, 2022
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 8 Issue: "Cumhuriyet'in 100. Yılında Türkiye'nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı

Cite

APA Dürrü, Z., & Konat, G. (2023). CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı. İktisadi İdari Ve Siyasal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 8("Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı), 137-152. https://doi.org/10.25204/iktisad.1149267
AMA Dürrü Z, Konat G. CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı. JEBUPOR. October 2023;8("Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı):137-152. doi:10.25204/iktisad.1149267
Chicago Dürrü, Zerrin, and Gökhan Konat. “CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı”. İktisadi İdari Ve Siyasal Araştırmalar Dergisi 8, no. "Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı (October 2023): 137-52. https://doi.org/10.25204/iktisad.1149267.
EndNote Dürrü Z, Konat G (October 1, 2023) CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı. İktisadi İdari ve Siyasal Araştırmalar Dergisi 8 "Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı 137–152.
IEEE Z. Dürrü and G. Konat, “CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı”, JEBUPOR, vol. 8, no. "Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı, pp. 137–152, 2023, doi: 10.25204/iktisad.1149267.
ISNAD Dürrü, Zerrin - Konat, Gökhan. “CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı”. İktisadi İdari ve Siyasal Araştırmalar Dergisi 8/"Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı (October 2023), 137-152. https://doi.org/10.25204/iktisad.1149267.
JAMA Dürrü Z, Konat G. CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı. JEBUPOR. 2023;8:137–152.
MLA Dürrü, Zerrin and Gökhan Konat. “CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı”. İktisadi İdari Ve Siyasal Araştırmalar Dergisi, vol. 8, no. "Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı, 2023, pp. 137-52, doi:10.25204/iktisad.1149267.
Vancouver Dürrü Z, Konat G. CIVETS Ülkelerinde Ekolojik Dengenin Stokastik Yakınsaması: Fourier Kantil Birim Kök Testi Yaklaşımı. JEBUPOR. 2023;8("Cumhuriyet’in 100. Yılında Türkiye’nin Sosyo-Ekonomisi" Özel Sayısı):137-52.
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