Öz
This study examines the long run nexus between globalization and employment level of Turkey for the years of 1970-2019 by using ARDL approach. The result of co-integration test implemented via ARDL boundary test show that inflation, globalization and employment are co-integrated and they move together in the long-run in Turkey. According to the long-run coefficient estimation findings, globalization has a positive and statistically significant effect on employment level. On the other hand inflation has a negative and statistically significant effect on employment level. In other words one percent jump in globalization level is followed by a 0.853% rise in employment level while one percent rise in globalization level leads to a drop by 0.057% in employment level in Turkey. Lastly based on VAR Granger Causality test findings, causalities running from GLOB and EMP variables to INF variable and also from INF and GLOB variables to EMP variable are identified.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Conte, A., & Vivarelli, M. (2007). Globalization and employment: Imported skill biased technological change in developing countries.
- Dreher, A. (2006). Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization. Applied economics, 38(10), 1091-1110.
- Jenkins, R. (2004). Globalization, production, employment and poverty: debates and evidence. Journal of International Development, 16(1), 1-12.
- Koyuncu, C. & Sarıtaş, T. (2017). Analysis of Globalization and Economic Growth for Turkey with ARDL Model. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 17 (2) , 51-66 . DOI: 10.18037/ausbd.417241
- Lee, E. (1996). Globalization and employment: Is anxiety justified. Int'l Lab. Rev., 135, 485.
- Nayyar, D. (2015). Globalization and employment. Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 58(1), 87-97.
- Oksak, Y. & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. (2017). Does Globalization Affect Female Labor Force Participation: Panel Evidence. Journal of Economics Bibliography, Volume 4, Issue 4, pages 381-387.
- Şenses, F. (2004). Neoliberal Küreselleşme Kalkınma İçin Bir Fırsat mı, Engel mi?. Kalkınma ve Küreselleşme, 1, 13-54.
- Unver, M. & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. (2021). Does More Globalization Mean More Tax Revenue?: Long-run Evidence From Turkey. Balkan Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 10 (20), 28-34.
- Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Unver, M. (2017). The Association between Corruption and Globalization in African Countries. Social Sciences Research Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, pages 20-28, (December 2017).
- Yalçınkaya Koyuncu, J. & Saritas, T. (2017). Türkiye’de Küresellesme İle Hanehalkı Tüketim Harcamaları Arasındaki Uzun Dönem ve Nedensellik İlişkisi, Ibaness Conference Series, 28-29 Ekim, 2017, 362-367, Ohrid/ Republic of Macedonia.
- Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Unver, M. (2021). Causality and Long-run Analyses between Financial Globalization and Investment in Turkey. Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences, 07 (04), 91-99.,
- Yalçinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Varsak, S. (2019). Globalization and Banking Crises: The Case of Developing Economies in Studies on Balkan and Near Eastern Social Sciences-Volume 3 Edited by Rasim Yilmaz and Günther Löschnigg, pp. 245-254. Berlin: PETER LANG. ISBN 978-3-631-78289-7.
- Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Unver, M., (2021). Causality and Long-run Analyses between Financial Globalization and Investment in Turkey. Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences, 07 (04), 91-99.
- Yilmaz, R., & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J., (2016). The Impact of Privatization on Employment Level: Panel Study Evidence from Transition Countries. pp. 479-483. In International Balkan and Near Eastern Social Sciences (ibaness) Conference Series Proceedings-Plovdiv/BULGARIA-March 12-13, 2016.
- Yilmaz, R. & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J., (2019). Asymmetric Effect of Globalization on the Interest Rates on External Debt: The Case of Turkey, Social Sciences Research Journal, 8(1), (March 2019), pages 189-193.
Öz
Bu çalışma, 1970-2019 yılları için Türkiye'nin küreselleşme ve istihdam düzeyi arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkiyi ARDL yaklaşımıyla incelemektedir. ARDL sınır testi ile uygulanan eşbütünleşme testinin sonucu, Türkiye'de enflasyon, küreselleşme ve istihdamın eşbütünleşik olduğunu ve uzun vadede birlikte hareket ettiklerini göstermektedir. Uzun dönem katsayı tahmin bulgularına göre küreselleşmenin istihdam düzeyi üzerinde pozitif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisi vardır. Enflasyonun ise istihdam düzeyi üzerinde negatif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisi vardır. Diğer bir deyişle, küreselleşme düzeyindeki yüzde birlik sıçramayı, Türkiye'de istihdam düzeyindeki yüzde 0,853'lük bir artış takip ederken, küreselleşme düzeyindeki yüzde birlik artış, Türkiye'de istihdam düzeyindeki yüzde 0,057'lik bir düşüşe yol açmaktadır. Son olarak VAR Granger Nedensellik testi bulgularına dayalı olarak, GLOB ve EMP değişkenlerinden INF değişkenine ve ayrıca INF ve GLOB değişkenlerinden EMP değişkenine uzanan nedensellikler tespit edilmiştir.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Conte, A., & Vivarelli, M. (2007). Globalization and employment: Imported skill biased technological change in developing countries.
- Dreher, A. (2006). Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization. Applied economics, 38(10), 1091-1110.
- Jenkins, R. (2004). Globalization, production, employment and poverty: debates and evidence. Journal of International Development, 16(1), 1-12.
- Koyuncu, C. & Sarıtaş, T. (2017). Analysis of Globalization and Economic Growth for Turkey with ARDL Model. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 17 (2) , 51-66 . DOI: 10.18037/ausbd.417241
- Lee, E. (1996). Globalization and employment: Is anxiety justified. Int'l Lab. Rev., 135, 485.
- Nayyar, D. (2015). Globalization and employment. Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 58(1), 87-97.
- Oksak, Y. & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. (2017). Does Globalization Affect Female Labor Force Participation: Panel Evidence. Journal of Economics Bibliography, Volume 4, Issue 4, pages 381-387.
- Şenses, F. (2004). Neoliberal Küreselleşme Kalkınma İçin Bir Fırsat mı, Engel mi?. Kalkınma ve Küreselleşme, 1, 13-54.
- Unver, M. & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. (2021). Does More Globalization Mean More Tax Revenue?: Long-run Evidence From Turkey. Balkan Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 10 (20), 28-34.
- Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Unver, M. (2017). The Association between Corruption and Globalization in African Countries. Social Sciences Research Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, pages 20-28, (December 2017).
- Yalçınkaya Koyuncu, J. & Saritas, T. (2017). Türkiye’de Küresellesme İle Hanehalkı Tüketim Harcamaları Arasındaki Uzun Dönem ve Nedensellik İlişkisi, Ibaness Conference Series, 28-29 Ekim, 2017, 362-367, Ohrid/ Republic of Macedonia.
- Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Unver, M. (2021). Causality and Long-run Analyses between Financial Globalization and Investment in Turkey. Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences, 07 (04), 91-99.,
- Yalçinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Varsak, S. (2019). Globalization and Banking Crises: The Case of Developing Economies in Studies on Balkan and Near Eastern Social Sciences-Volume 3 Edited by Rasim Yilmaz and Günther Löschnigg, pp. 245-254. Berlin: PETER LANG. ISBN 978-3-631-78289-7.
- Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J. & Unver, M., (2021). Causality and Long-run Analyses between Financial Globalization and Investment in Turkey. Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences, 07 (04), 91-99.
- Yilmaz, R., & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J., (2016). The Impact of Privatization on Employment Level: Panel Study Evidence from Transition Countries. pp. 479-483. In International Balkan and Near Eastern Social Sciences (ibaness) Conference Series Proceedings-Plovdiv/BULGARIA-March 12-13, 2016.
- Yilmaz, R. & Yalcinkaya Koyuncu, J., (2019). Asymmetric Effect of Globalization on the Interest Rates on External Debt: The Case of Turkey, Social Sciences Research Journal, 8(1), (March 2019), pages 189-193.
Ayrıntılar
| Birincil Dil | İngilizce |
|---|---|
| Konular | Ekonomi |
| Bölüm | Araştırma Makalesi |
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 1 Temmuz 2022 |
| Kabul Tarihi | 25 Haziran 2022 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2022 Cilt: 11 Sayı: 21 |
