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Structural Analysis Of Turkish Labor Market Through Beveridge Curve: 2005-2022 Period

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2, 329 - 349, 25.12.2023

İbrahim Tokatlıoğlu Fahriye Öztürk

https://doi.org/10.30586/pek.1322645

Öz

In this study, the Beveridge Curve (BC) was estimated for both the entire period and sub-periods with the help of the matching function, using the monthly data for the period between January-2005 and June 2022, in particular for the Turkish Labor Market. In the study, two different dating techniques were used to determine the sub-periods. In the first technique of dating, cyclical fluctuations of the unemployment rate calculated with the Bry-Boschan-Pagan-Harding algorithm were used, while in the second technique, the fluctuation phases used in the first technique were extended with crisis periods.
Considering that the parameter showing the average efficiency of the matching technology in the estimation of the matching function takes different values as of the periods, it has been estimated for each period as of the cyclical phases. BC was calculated for the whole period and for each sub-period using the estimated matching efficiency parameter. The obtained findings show that the BC of Turkey is accordance with the theoretical and empirical literature. BC, with negative slope and counterclockwise cyclical change, moves away from the origin on the one hand and becomes steeper on the other hand, as of periods.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Beveridge Curve Turkish Labor Market Matching Function Global Crisis

Kaynakça

  • Ağayev, S. ve Bora, A. (2012). Türkiye İçin Beveridge Eğrisi ve Emek Piyasası Üzerine Bir İnceleme. Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 49(565). 23-36.
  • Aydın, N. (2012). İşsizlik, Beveridge Eğrisi ve Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasına İlişkin Bir Değerlendirme. Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi. 2(32), 119-134, Nisan.
  • Balaban, B. (2022). Finansal Çevrimler ve İş Çevrimleri Arasındaki İlişki: Türkiye Örneği. Yayımlanmamış Doktora tezi. Gazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü.
  • Bell, Una-Louise (1997). A Comparative Analysis of the Aggregate Matching Process in France, Great Britain and Spain, Banco de España– Servicio de Estudios, Documento de Trabajo 9721.
  • Berman, Eli (1997), Help Wanted, Job Needed: Estimates of a Matching Function from Employment Service Data. Journal of Labor Economics. 15(1), 251–91.
  • Beveridge, W. (1944). Full Employment in a Free Society. Norton press.
  • Bilen, Ö.; Bilen Kazancık, L. ve Doğan, İ. (2018). Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasında Arama ve Eşleştirme Modeli. Sayıştay Dergisi, 108, 73-97.
  • Blanchard, O. J. ve Diamond, P. (1989). The Beveridge Curve. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity1(3): 1-76.
  • Blanchard, O. J. ve Diamond, P. (1990a). The Aggregate Matching Function. Growth, Productivity and Unemployment. içinde. Ed. P. A. Diamond. Cambridge: MIT Press ss.159–206.
  • Blanchard, O. J. ve Diamond, P. (1990b). The Cyclical Behavior of the Gross Flows of U.S. Workers Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 0(2), 85–143.
  • Blanchard, Olivier; Domash, Alex ve Summers, Lawrence H. (2022). Bad News for the Fed from the Beveridge Space. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Policy Brief 22-7.
  • Bleakley, H. ve Fuhrer,J. C. (1997). Shifts in The Beveridge Curve, Job Matching, and Labor Market Dynamics. New England Economic Review Sept./Oct., 3-19.
  • Bonthuis, B.; Jarvis, V. ve Vanhala, J. (2013). What’s Going on Behind the Euro Area Beveridge Curve(s)? European Central Bank Working Paper Series No: 1586, September.
  • Börsch-Supan, A. H. (1991), Panel Data Analysis of the Beveridge Curve: Is There a Macroeconomic Relation Between the Rate of Unemployment and the Vacancy Rate? Economica, New Series, 58(231) (Aug), 279-297.
  • Bouvet, F. (2012). The Beveridge Curve in Europe: New Evidence Using National and Regional Data. Applied Economics, 44(27), 3585-3604, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579062.
  • Bry, G. ve Boschan, C. (1971). Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs. NBER Publication.
  • Burda, M. C. ve Wyplosz, C. (1994). Gross Worker and Job Flows in Europe. European Economic Review, 38(6), 1287–315.
  • Burgess, S. M. (1993). A Model of Competition between Unemployed and Employed Job-Searchers: An Application to the Unemployment Out flow Rate in Britain. Economic Journal 103(420), 1190–204.
  • Burns, A. F. ve Mitchell, W. C. (1946) Measuring Business Cycles. NBER Publication.
  • Claessens, S.; Kose, M. A. ve Terrones, M. (2011b). How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact? IMF working paper (April-2011).
  • Claessens, S.; Kose, M. A. ve Terrones, M. (2011a). Financial cycles: what? how? when? IMF working paper (April-2011).
  • Çağlarırmak Uslu, N.; Karahan-Dursun, P. ve Çer, Ş. (2019). Türkiye’de Beveridge Eğrisinin Geçerliliğine İlişkin Ampirik Bir Analiz. Aksaray Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 11(1), 43- 52.
  • De Francesco, A. L. (1999). The relationship between unemployment and vacancies in Australia. Applied Economics, 31, 641–52.
  • Diamond, P. A. ve Sahin, A. (2014). Shifts in the Beveridge Curve. FED of New York Staff Report, No: 687, August. http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr687.pdf.
  • Dickens, W. T (2009). A New Method for Estimating Time Variation in the NAIRU. Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy. Ed. Fuhrer vd. The MIT Press, 207-230 http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262013635.003.0006.
  • Dow, J. C. R. ve Dicks-Mireaux, L. (1958). The Excess Demand for Labour: A Study of Conditions in Great Britain, 1946-1956.Oxford Economic Papers, 10(1), 1–33.
  • Elsby, M.W. L.; Ryan, M. ve Ratner,D. (2014). The Beveridge Curve: A Survey. Journal of Economic Literature. 53(3), 571-630. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.53.3.571.
  • Fêve, P. ve Langot,F. (1996). Unemployment and the Business Cycle in a Small Open Economy: G.M.M. Estimation and Testing with French Data. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,20(9–10),1609–39.
  • Ghayad, Rand (2013a). A Decomposition of Shifts of the Beveridge Curve. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Public Policy Briefs No: 13-1
  • Ghayad, Rand (2013b). The Jobless Trap.WorkingPaper. http://media.wix.com/ugd/576e9a_f6cf3b6661e44621ad26547112f66691.pdf.
  • Gross, D. M. (1997). Aggregate Job Matching and Returns to Scale in Germany. Economics Letters, 56(2), 243–48.
  • Hansen, Bent (1970). Excess Demand, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Wages. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84, 1-23.
  • Hansen, M. ve Pancs, R. (2002). The Beveridge Curve and the Matching Function: Indicators of Normalization in the Latvian Labour Market. Euro Faculty Working Papers CERGE-EI-GDN http://www.cerge.cuni.cz/pdf/gdn/RRCI_31_paper_01.pdf
  • Harding, D., ve Pagan, A.R. (2002). Dissecting the Cycle: A Methodological Investigation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(2), 365-381.
  • Hobijn, B. ve Sahin,A. (2012). Beveridge Curve Shifts across Countries since the Great Recession. 13th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference.
  • Holt, C. C. ve David, M. H. (1966). The Concept Of Job Vacancies in A Dynamic Theory Of The Labour Market The Measurement and Interpretation of JobVacancies. içinde Edt. NBER New York: Columbia University Press. http://www.nber.org/chapters/c1599.pdf
  • Kanık, B.; Sunel,E. ve Taşkın,T. (2014). Unemployment and Vacancies in Turkey: The Beveridge Curve and Matching Function Central Bank Review14(3), 35-62.
  • Kanık, B.; Sunel, E. ve Taşkın, T. (2012). Beveridge Eğrisi ve Eşleşme Fonksiyonu: Türkiye Örneği. TCMB Ekonomi Notları, Sayı: 2012-24 / 07 Eylül 2012.
  • Keskin, A. ve Şen, H. (2010). Beveridge Eğrisi, Teori ve Türkiye Uygulaması. TİSK Akademi, 5(10), 198–208.
  • Kosfeld, R; Dreger,C. ve Eckey, H. F. (2006). On the Stability of the German Beveridge Curve: A Spatial Econometric Perspective. IZA Discussion Paper Series, DP No: 2099, April.
  • Kroft, K.; Lange, F.; Notowidigdo, M. J. ve Katz,L. F. (2013). Long Term Unemployment and the Great Recession: The Role of Composition, Duration Dependence, and Non-Participation Working Paper Series, http://scholar.harvard.edu/files/lkatz/files/klnk_ltu_and_great_recession_sep16_2013.pdf
  • Krueger, A. B.; Cramer,J. ve Cho D. (2014). Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?. Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, March 20-21, 229-299. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Projects/BPEA/Spring%202014/2014a_Krueger.pdf
  • Layard, R.; Nickell,S. J. ve Jackman,R. A. (1991). Unemployment, Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Mortensen, D. ve Pissarides, C. A. (1994). Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment. Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), 397-415.
  • Özçelik, Ö. Ve Akıncı, A. (2020). İşgücü Piyasasında Beveridge Eğrisinin Geçerliliği: Türkiye Uygulaması. Balkan Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi. 9(17) 152-161.
  • Öztürk, F. ;Tokatlıoğlu, İ.ve Ardor, H.N. (2014). Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin ARIMA ve Phillips Eğrisi Modellerinin Enflasyon Tahmin Performanslarının Karşılaştırılması: 1995-2014. Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 25(92), 19-53.
  • Petrongolo, B. ve Pissarides, C. A. (2001). Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function. Journal of Economic Literature, 39, 390-431.
  • Phillips, A.W. (1958). The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957. Economica, 25(100), 283-299.
  • Pissarides, C. (2000). Equilibrium Unemployment Theory, Second edition, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press.
  • Pissarides, C. (1985). Short-Run Equilibrium Dynamics of Unemployment, Vacancies, And Real Wages. American Economic Review, 75, 676-90.
  • Rodenburg, P. (2011). The remarkable transformation of the UV curve in economic theory. The European Journal of Economic History. 18(1), 125-153.
  • Sağlam, B. B. ve Günalp, B. (2012). The Beveridge Curve and Labour Market Dynamics in Turkey. Applied Economics, 44(24), 3195-3202, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570725
  • Shimer, Robert (2005). The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies. The American Economic Review, 95(1), 25-49.
  • Teo, E.; Thangavelu, S. M. ve Quah,E. (2005). Singapore's Beveridge Curve : A Comparative Study of the Unemployment and Vacancy Relationship for Selected East Asian Countries. Scape Working Paper Series, Paper No: 2005/08.http://www.fas.nus.edu.sg/ecs/pub/wp-scape/0508.pdf.
  • Tokatlıoğlu, İ.(2016). Küresel Kriz Öncesi ve Sonrası Dönem için Türkiye’nin Beveridge Eğrisi Tahmini. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 34(3).
  • Valletta, Robert G. (2005). Why Has the U.S. Beveridge Curve Shifted Back? New Evidence Using Regional Data FRB SF Working Paper 2005-25.
  • Van Ours, J. C. ve Ridder, G. (1992). Vacancies and the Recruitment of New Employees. Journal of LaborEconomics, 10(2),138–55.
  • Van Ours, J. C. (1991). The Efficiency of the Dutch Labour Market in Matching Unemployment and Vacancies. De Economist, 139(3), 358–78.
  • Wall H. J. ve Zoega, G. (1997). The British Beveridge Curve: A Tale of Ten Regions. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper Series Working Paper 2001-007Bhttp://research.stlouisfed.org/wp/2001/2001-007.pdf Warren,
  • Ronald S. (1996). Returns to Scale in a Matching Model of the Labour Market. Economics Letters. 50(1), 135–42.
  • Yashiv, E. (2000). The Determinants of Equilibrium Unemployment”, American Economic Review, 90(5), 1297–322.
  • Yashiv, E. (2008). The Beveridge Curve. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics içinde Edt. L. Blume and Durlauf S. N. 2nd edition. http://www.tau.ac.il/~yashiv/beveridge.pdf

Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasının Beveridge Eğrisi Aracılığı ile Yapısal Analizi: 2005-2022 Dönemi

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2, 329 - 349, 25.12.2023

İbrahim Tokatlıoğlu Fahriye Öztürk

https://doi.org/10.30586/pek.1322645

Öz

Bu çalışmada Türkiye İşgücü Piyasası özelinde Ocak 2005-Haziran 2022 dönemine ait aylık veriler kullanılarak eşleşme fonksiyonu yardımı ile hem ele alınan dönemin tamamı hem de belirlenen alt dönemler için Beveridge Eğrisi (BE) tahmin edilmiştir. Çalışmada alt dönemlerin belirlenmesinde iki farklı dönemleme tekniği kullanılmıştır. Birinci dönemlemede Bry-Boschan-Pagan-Harding algoritması ile hesaplanan işsizlik oranına ilişkin konjonktürel dalgalanmalar kullanılırken ikinci dönemleme de ise ilk dönemlemede kullanılan dalgalanma fazları kriz dönemleri ile genişletilmiştir.
Eşleşme fonksiyonunu tahmin ederken eşleşme teknolojisi ortalama etkinliğini gösteren parametre, dönemler itibari ile farklı değerler aldığı varsayılarak, konjonktürel fazlar itibari ile her bir dönem için ayrı ayrı tahmin edilmiştir. Tahmin edilen bu parametre kullanılarak ele alınan dönemin tamamı ve her bir alt dönem için yine ayrı ayrı BE hesaplanmıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, Türkiye ait BE'nin zaman içinde kuramsal ve ampirik yazına uygun bir biçimde konum değiştirdiğini göstermiştir. Negatif eğimli ve saat yönünün tersine konjonktürel değişim gösteren BE, dönemler itibari ile bir yandan orijinden uzaklaşmakta diğer yandan daha dik hale gelmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Beveridge Eğrisi Türkiye İşgücü Piyasası Eşleşme Fonksiyonu Küresel Kriz

Kaynakça

  • Ağayev, S. ve Bora, A. (2012). Türkiye İçin Beveridge Eğrisi ve Emek Piyasası Üzerine Bir İnceleme. Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 49(565). 23-36.
  • Aydın, N. (2012). İşsizlik, Beveridge Eğrisi ve Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasına İlişkin Bir Değerlendirme. Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi. 2(32), 119-134, Nisan.
  • Balaban, B. (2022). Finansal Çevrimler ve İş Çevrimleri Arasındaki İlişki: Türkiye Örneği. Yayımlanmamış Doktora tezi. Gazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü.
  • Bell, Una-Louise (1997). A Comparative Analysis of the Aggregate Matching Process in France, Great Britain and Spain, Banco de España– Servicio de Estudios, Documento de Trabajo 9721.
  • Berman, Eli (1997), Help Wanted, Job Needed: Estimates of a Matching Function from Employment Service Data. Journal of Labor Economics. 15(1), 251–91.
  • Beveridge, W. (1944). Full Employment in a Free Society. Norton press.
  • Bilen, Ö.; Bilen Kazancık, L. ve Doğan, İ. (2018). Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasında Arama ve Eşleştirme Modeli. Sayıştay Dergisi, 108, 73-97.
  • Blanchard, O. J. ve Diamond, P. (1989). The Beveridge Curve. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity1(3): 1-76.
  • Blanchard, O. J. ve Diamond, P. (1990a). The Aggregate Matching Function. Growth, Productivity and Unemployment. içinde. Ed. P. A. Diamond. Cambridge: MIT Press ss.159–206.
  • Blanchard, O. J. ve Diamond, P. (1990b). The Cyclical Behavior of the Gross Flows of U.S. Workers Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 0(2), 85–143.
  • Blanchard, Olivier; Domash, Alex ve Summers, Lawrence H. (2022). Bad News for the Fed from the Beveridge Space. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Policy Brief 22-7.
  • Bleakley, H. ve Fuhrer,J. C. (1997). Shifts in The Beveridge Curve, Job Matching, and Labor Market Dynamics. New England Economic Review Sept./Oct., 3-19.
  • Bonthuis, B.; Jarvis, V. ve Vanhala, J. (2013). What’s Going on Behind the Euro Area Beveridge Curve(s)? European Central Bank Working Paper Series No: 1586, September.
  • Börsch-Supan, A. H. (1991), Panel Data Analysis of the Beveridge Curve: Is There a Macroeconomic Relation Between the Rate of Unemployment and the Vacancy Rate? Economica, New Series, 58(231) (Aug), 279-297.
  • Bouvet, F. (2012). The Beveridge Curve in Europe: New Evidence Using National and Regional Data. Applied Economics, 44(27), 3585-3604, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579062.
  • Bry, G. ve Boschan, C. (1971). Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs. NBER Publication.
  • Burda, M. C. ve Wyplosz, C. (1994). Gross Worker and Job Flows in Europe. European Economic Review, 38(6), 1287–315.
  • Burgess, S. M. (1993). A Model of Competition between Unemployed and Employed Job-Searchers: An Application to the Unemployment Out flow Rate in Britain. Economic Journal 103(420), 1190–204.
  • Burns, A. F. ve Mitchell, W. C. (1946) Measuring Business Cycles. NBER Publication.
  • Claessens, S.; Kose, M. A. ve Terrones, M. (2011b). How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact? IMF working paper (April-2011).
  • Claessens, S.; Kose, M. A. ve Terrones, M. (2011a). Financial cycles: what? how? when? IMF working paper (April-2011).
  • Çağlarırmak Uslu, N.; Karahan-Dursun, P. ve Çer, Ş. (2019). Türkiye’de Beveridge Eğrisinin Geçerliliğine İlişkin Ampirik Bir Analiz. Aksaray Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 11(1), 43- 52.
  • De Francesco, A. L. (1999). The relationship between unemployment and vacancies in Australia. Applied Economics, 31, 641–52.
  • Diamond, P. A. ve Sahin, A. (2014). Shifts in the Beveridge Curve. FED of New York Staff Report, No: 687, August. http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr687.pdf.
  • Dickens, W. T (2009). A New Method for Estimating Time Variation in the NAIRU. Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy. Ed. Fuhrer vd. The MIT Press, 207-230 http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262013635.003.0006.
  • Dow, J. C. R. ve Dicks-Mireaux, L. (1958). The Excess Demand for Labour: A Study of Conditions in Great Britain, 1946-1956.Oxford Economic Papers, 10(1), 1–33.
  • Elsby, M.W. L.; Ryan, M. ve Ratner,D. (2014). The Beveridge Curve: A Survey. Journal of Economic Literature. 53(3), 571-630. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.53.3.571.
  • Fêve, P. ve Langot,F. (1996). Unemployment and the Business Cycle in a Small Open Economy: G.M.M. Estimation and Testing with French Data. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,20(9–10),1609–39.
  • Ghayad, Rand (2013a). A Decomposition of Shifts of the Beveridge Curve. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Public Policy Briefs No: 13-1
  • Ghayad, Rand (2013b). The Jobless Trap.WorkingPaper. http://media.wix.com/ugd/576e9a_f6cf3b6661e44621ad26547112f66691.pdf.
  • Gross, D. M. (1997). Aggregate Job Matching and Returns to Scale in Germany. Economics Letters, 56(2), 243–48.
  • Hansen, Bent (1970). Excess Demand, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Wages. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84, 1-23.
  • Hansen, M. ve Pancs, R. (2002). The Beveridge Curve and the Matching Function: Indicators of Normalization in the Latvian Labour Market. Euro Faculty Working Papers CERGE-EI-GDN http://www.cerge.cuni.cz/pdf/gdn/RRCI_31_paper_01.pdf
  • Harding, D., ve Pagan, A.R. (2002). Dissecting the Cycle: A Methodological Investigation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(2), 365-381.
  • Hobijn, B. ve Sahin,A. (2012). Beveridge Curve Shifts across Countries since the Great Recession. 13th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference.
  • Holt, C. C. ve David, M. H. (1966). The Concept Of Job Vacancies in A Dynamic Theory Of The Labour Market The Measurement and Interpretation of JobVacancies. içinde Edt. NBER New York: Columbia University Press. http://www.nber.org/chapters/c1599.pdf
  • Kanık, B.; Sunel,E. ve Taşkın,T. (2014). Unemployment and Vacancies in Turkey: The Beveridge Curve and Matching Function Central Bank Review14(3), 35-62.
  • Kanık, B.; Sunel, E. ve Taşkın, T. (2012). Beveridge Eğrisi ve Eşleşme Fonksiyonu: Türkiye Örneği. TCMB Ekonomi Notları, Sayı: 2012-24 / 07 Eylül 2012.
  • Keskin, A. ve Şen, H. (2010). Beveridge Eğrisi, Teori ve Türkiye Uygulaması. TİSK Akademi, 5(10), 198–208.
  • Kosfeld, R; Dreger,C. ve Eckey, H. F. (2006). On the Stability of the German Beveridge Curve: A Spatial Econometric Perspective. IZA Discussion Paper Series, DP No: 2099, April.
  • Kroft, K.; Lange, F.; Notowidigdo, M. J. ve Katz,L. F. (2013). Long Term Unemployment and the Great Recession: The Role of Composition, Duration Dependence, and Non-Participation Working Paper Series, http://scholar.harvard.edu/files/lkatz/files/klnk_ltu_and_great_recession_sep16_2013.pdf
  • Krueger, A. B.; Cramer,J. ve Cho D. (2014). Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?. Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, March 20-21, 229-299. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Projects/BPEA/Spring%202014/2014a_Krueger.pdf
  • Layard, R.; Nickell,S. J. ve Jackman,R. A. (1991). Unemployment, Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Mortensen, D. ve Pissarides, C. A. (1994). Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment. Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), 397-415.
  • Özçelik, Ö. Ve Akıncı, A. (2020). İşgücü Piyasasında Beveridge Eğrisinin Geçerliliği: Türkiye Uygulaması. Balkan Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi. 9(17) 152-161.
  • Öztürk, F. ;Tokatlıoğlu, İ.ve Ardor, H.N. (2014). Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin ARIMA ve Phillips Eğrisi Modellerinin Enflasyon Tahmin Performanslarının Karşılaştırılması: 1995-2014. Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 25(92), 19-53.
  • Petrongolo, B. ve Pissarides, C. A. (2001). Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function. Journal of Economic Literature, 39, 390-431.
  • Phillips, A.W. (1958). The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957. Economica, 25(100), 283-299.
  • Pissarides, C. (2000). Equilibrium Unemployment Theory, Second edition, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press.
  • Pissarides, C. (1985). Short-Run Equilibrium Dynamics of Unemployment, Vacancies, And Real Wages. American Economic Review, 75, 676-90.
  • Rodenburg, P. (2011). The remarkable transformation of the UV curve in economic theory. The European Journal of Economic History. 18(1), 125-153.
  • Sağlam, B. B. ve Günalp, B. (2012). The Beveridge Curve and Labour Market Dynamics in Turkey. Applied Economics, 44(24), 3195-3202, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570725
  • Shimer, Robert (2005). The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies. The American Economic Review, 95(1), 25-49.
  • Teo, E.; Thangavelu, S. M. ve Quah,E. (2005). Singapore's Beveridge Curve : A Comparative Study of the Unemployment and Vacancy Relationship for Selected East Asian Countries. Scape Working Paper Series, Paper No: 2005/08.http://www.fas.nus.edu.sg/ecs/pub/wp-scape/0508.pdf.
  • Tokatlıoğlu, İ.(2016). Küresel Kriz Öncesi ve Sonrası Dönem için Türkiye’nin Beveridge Eğrisi Tahmini. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 34(3).
  • Valletta, Robert G. (2005). Why Has the U.S. Beveridge Curve Shifted Back? New Evidence Using Regional Data FRB SF Working Paper 2005-25.
  • Van Ours, J. C. ve Ridder, G. (1992). Vacancies and the Recruitment of New Employees. Journal of LaborEconomics, 10(2),138–55.
  • Van Ours, J. C. (1991). The Efficiency of the Dutch Labour Market in Matching Unemployment and Vacancies. De Economist, 139(3), 358–78.
  • Wall H. J. ve Zoega, G. (1997). The British Beveridge Curve: A Tale of Ten Regions. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper Series Working Paper 2001-007Bhttp://research.stlouisfed.org/wp/2001/2001-007.pdf Warren,
  • Ronald S. (1996). Returns to Scale in a Matching Model of the Labour Market. Economics Letters. 50(1), 135–42.
  • Yashiv, E. (2000). The Determinants of Equilibrium Unemployment”, American Economic Review, 90(5), 1297–322.
  • Yashiv, E. (2008). The Beveridge Curve. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics içinde Edt. L. Blume and Durlauf S. N. 2nd edition. http://www.tau.ac.il/~yashiv/beveridge.pdf
Toplam 62 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Çalışma Ekonomisi
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

İbrahim Tokatlıoğlu 0009-0004-5664-5294

Fahriye Öztürk 0000-0002-5334-8479

Yayımlanma Tarihi 25 Aralık 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Tokatlıoğlu, İ., & Öztürk, F. (2023). Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasının Beveridge Eğrisi Aracılığı ile Yapısal Analizi: 2005-2022 Dönemi. Politik Ekonomik Kuram, 7(2), 329-349. https://doi.org/10.30586/pek.1322645
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