Türkiye'de Demokrasi ve Kamu Borcu Etkileşiminin Ampirik Analizi

Orhan Cengiz; Müge Manga

doi:10.37880/cumuiibf.741743

Türkiye'de Demokrasi ve Kamu Borcu Etkileşiminin Ampirik Analizi

Öz

Yeni politik ekonomi literatüründe demokrasiyle kamu borçlanması arasındaki ilişki seçim sistemi, parti yapısı, politik rejimler başta olmak üzere birçok unsur kapsamında incelenmektedir. Demokrasilerde karar alma sürecinde etkili olan faktörler hükümetleri kamu harcaması ve bütçe üzerinde farklı inisiyatiflere yönlendirerek kamu borcunu etkilemektedir. Böylelikle demokrasi ile kamu borcu arasındaki ilişki ayrı bir önem kazanmaktadır. Buradan yola çıkarak bu çalışmada Türkiye için 1975-2015 dönemi verileri kullanılarak demokrasi ile kamu borcu ilişkisi test edilmiştir. ARDL sınır testi sonuçlarına göre demokrasiden uzaklaşıldıkça kamu borcu da artmaktadır. Belirli bir eşik değerinden sonra ise azalmaya başlamaktadır. VECM Granger nedensellik testi bulguları ise hem kısa dönemde hem de uzun dönemde demokrasi, demokrasinin karesi ve kamu harcamalarından kamu borcuna doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisini gösterirken, ekonomik büyümeden kamu borcuna doğru sadece uzun dönemde tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığını ifade etmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

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Details

Primary Language

Turkish

Subjects

-

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Orhan Cengiz ^*
0000-0002-1883-4754
Türkiye

Müge Manga
0000-0003-2675-2182
Türkiye

Publication Date

May 7, 2021

Submission Date

May 23, 2020

Acceptance Date

February 24, 2021

Published in Issue

Year 2021 Volume: 22 Number: 1

DOI

https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.741743

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA94RW39EH

Cite

RIS / Bibtex

APA

Cengiz, O., & Manga, M. (2021). Türkiye’de Demokrasi ve Kamu Borcu Etkileşiminin Ampirik Analizi. Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 22(1), 113-134. https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.741743