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Geçiş Ülkelerinde Tarımın Yoksulluk Üzerindeki Etkisi: Panel ARDL Modeli

Year 2021, Volume: 22 Issue: 1, 163 - 178, 07.05.2021

Zamira Oskonbaeva , Seyil Najımudınova

https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.741186

Abstract

Yoksullukla mücadele tüm ülkeler için özellikle de gelişmekte olan ülkeler için üzerinde önemle durulması gereken bir konu olarak ön plana çıkmaktadır. Yoksulların çoğunluğu kırsal kesimde yaşadığından onların yaşamı tarıma bağımlıdır. Bilindiği gibi ekonomik gelişme sürecinde tarım sektörü önemli roller üstlenmektedir. Dolayısıyla söz konusu ülkelerde yoksulluğu azaltmanın en kalıcı yollarından birinin tarımsal kalkınma olduğu kanaatine varılabilir.
Bu çalışmanın amacı, tarım sektörünün yoksulluğun azaltılmasında etkili olup olmadığını incelemektir. Bu amaç doğrultusunda seçilmiş geçiş sürecindeki ülkelerin (Belarus, Estonya, Kazakistan, Kırgızistan, Letonya, Rusya) 2006-2015 dönemine ait yıllık verileri ampirik uygulamada kullanılmıştır. İlk önce serilerin durağanlığı panel birim kök testi yardımıyla incelenmiştir. Daha sonra Panel ARDL modeli aracılığıyla ele alınan değişkenler arasındaki bağlantı ortaya konulmaya çalışılmıştır. Ampirik uygulama sonucu elde edilen bulgular ışığında değerlendirmeler yapılarak öneriler sunulmuştur.

Keywords

tarım yoksulluk geçiş ülkeleri panel veri analizi

References

  • Abbas S., Azeem M. M., Bakhsh K., Fatima A., & Samie, A. (2014). Poverty Reduction in Pakistan: The Role of Agricultural and Industrial Subsector’s Growth. Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, 24(2), 143-157.
  • Adofu, I. (2013). Alleviating Poverty Through the Use of Entrepreneurship Skill Acquisition in Kogi State, Nigeria. International Open Journal of Economics, 1(2), 14-23.
  • Alston, J.M., & Pardey, P. G. (2014) Agriculture in the Global Economy, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(1), 121–146.
  • Bekun, F.V., & Akadiri, S.S. (2019). Poverty and Agriculture in Southern Africa Revisited: A Panel Causality Perspective. SAGE Open, 1–10, DOI: 10.1177/2158244019828853
  • Bourguignon, F., & Morrisson, C. (1998). Inequality and Development: The Role of Dualism. Journal of Development Economics, 57, 233-258.
  • Corral, S., Diaz, A. Z., Monagas, D. E., & Garcia, E. C. (2017). Agricultural Policies and Their Impact on Poverty Reduction in Developing Countries: Lessons Learned from Three Water Basins in Cape Verde. Sustainability, 1841, 1-18.
  • Datt, G., & Ravallion, M. (1998). Farm productivity and Rural Poverty in India. The Journal of Development Studies, 34(4), 62-85, DOI: 10.1080/00220389808422529
  • Fan, S., Chan-Kang, C., & Mukherjee A. (2005). Rural and Urban dynamics and poverty: Evidence from China and India. IFPRI, DSG Discussion Paper 23, Washington, D.C.
  • Fan, S., Zhang, L., & Zhang, X. (2000). Growth and Poverty in Rural China: The Role of Public Investments. EPTD Discussion Paper No. 66.
  • Gomanee, K., Morrissey, O., Mosley, P., & Verschoor, A. (2003). Aid, Pro-Poor Government Spending and Welfare.University of Nottingham: CREDIT Research Paper, no.03/03
  • Güriş S. (2015). Stata ile Panel Veri Modelleri, Der Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Hidalgo-Hidalgo, M., & Iturbe-Ormaetxe, I. (2014). Long-run Effects on Poverty of Public Expenditure in Education. WP-AD 2014-06.
  • Huang, J., Zhang, Q., & Rozelle, S. (2008). Economic Growth, the Nature of Growth and Poverty Reduction in Rural China. China Economic Journal, 1(1), 107-122, DOI:10.1080/17538960701770547
  • Imai, Katsushi S., Cheng, W., & Gaiha, R. (2017). Dynamic and Long-Term Linkages Among Agricultural and Non-Agricultural Growth, Inequality and Poverty in Developing Countries. International Review of Applied Economics, 31(3), 318-338, DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2016.1249833
  • Jingdong L., Rehman A., Khatoon R., Iqbal M. S., & Hussain I. (2016). Effect of Agricultural Growth on Poverty Reduction, its Importance and Suggestions. Transylvanian Review, 24(5), 449-454.
  • John M.A. & Dankawu M.U. (2018). Effect of Agriculture on Poverty Reduction in Nigeria: A Multifaceted Approach Using Principal Component Analysis. IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Science (IOSR-JHSS), 23(6), 35-43.
  • Kumar A., Kumar P., &Sharma A. N. (2011). Rural Poverty and Agricultural Growth in India: Implications for the Twelfth Five Year Plan. Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 66(3), 269-278.
  • Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24.
  • Loayza, N. V., & Raddatz, C. (2006). The Composition of Growth Matters for Poverty Alleviation. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4077. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank.
  • Lofgren, H., & Robinson, S. (2004). Public Spending, Growth and Poverty Alleviation in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis. Mimeo, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C.
  • Shirima, L.L. Alleviating Poverty Through Innovation and Entrepreneurship (I & E), Research Paper. International Business and Entrepreneurship Department of Management, Warrington College of Business, University of Florida, P.O. Box 117165, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
  • Mathur, S. C. (1985). Rural poverty and agricultural performance in India, The Journal of Development Studies, 21:3, 422-428, DOI: 10.1080/00220388508421952
  • Mehmood, R., & Sadiq, S. (2010). The Relationship between Government Expenditure and Poverty: A Cointegration Analysis. Romanian Journal of Fiscal Policy, 1(1), 29-37.
  • Mosley, P., Hudson, J., & Verschoor, A.（2004). Aid, Poverty Reduction and the New Conditionality. The Economic Journal, 114(496), 217-43.
  • Ostensen, M. (2007). The Effects of Local Government Spending on Poverty in Norway. Department of Economics of University of Oslo.
  • Pesaran, H. & Shin, Y. (1999). An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration. In Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century; The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium Cambridge University Press, chapter. 4, 371-413.
  • Pesaran, H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Working Paper, No: 0435 University of Cambridge.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265–312.
  • Rehman, A., Jingdong, L., Khatoon, R., Iqbal, M. S., & Hussain. I. (2016). Effect of Agricultural Growth on Poverty Reduction, its Importance and Suggestions. Transylvanian Review, 24 (5). http://transylvanianreview.org/index.php/Trr/article/view/226
  • Stringer R. (2001). How Important are the 'Non-Traditional' Economic Roles of Agriculture in Development? Discussion Paper No. 0118, Adelaide University, May.
  • Wujung V.,A., & Mbella M.,E. (2014). Entrepreneurship and Poverty Reduction in Cameroon: A Vector Autoregressive Approach. Archives of Business Research, 2(5),1-11. World Bank, 2019. www.worldbank.org
  • Yanya, M., Abdul-Hakim, R., &Abdul-Razak, N.A. (2013). Does Entrepreneurship Bring an Equal Society and Alleviate Poverty? Evidence from Thailand, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 91, 331 – 340
  • Yassin, A., & Hafiez, A.A. (2013). Entrepreneurship Development and Poverty Reduction. Empirical Survey from Somalia. American International Journal of Social Science, 2(3), 108-113.

Year 2021, Volume: 22 Issue: 1, 163 - 178, 07.05.2021

Zamira Oskonbaeva , Seyil Najımudınova

https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.741186

Abstract

References

  • Abbas S., Azeem M. M., Bakhsh K., Fatima A., & Samie, A. (2014). Poverty Reduction in Pakistan: The Role of Agricultural and Industrial Subsector’s Growth. Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, 24(2), 143-157.
  • Adofu, I. (2013). Alleviating Poverty Through the Use of Entrepreneurship Skill Acquisition in Kogi State, Nigeria. International Open Journal of Economics, 1(2), 14-23.
  • Alston, J.M., & Pardey, P. G. (2014) Agriculture in the Global Economy, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(1), 121–146.
  • Bekun, F.V., & Akadiri, S.S. (2019). Poverty and Agriculture in Southern Africa Revisited: A Panel Causality Perspective. SAGE Open, 1–10, DOI: 10.1177/2158244019828853
  • Bourguignon, F., & Morrisson, C. (1998). Inequality and Development: The Role of Dualism. Journal of Development Economics, 57, 233-258.
  • Corral, S., Diaz, A. Z., Monagas, D. E., & Garcia, E. C. (2017). Agricultural Policies and Their Impact on Poverty Reduction in Developing Countries: Lessons Learned from Three Water Basins in Cape Verde. Sustainability, 1841, 1-18.
  • Datt, G., & Ravallion, M. (1998). Farm productivity and Rural Poverty in India. The Journal of Development Studies, 34(4), 62-85, DOI: 10.1080/00220389808422529
  • Fan, S., Chan-Kang, C., & Mukherjee A. (2005). Rural and Urban dynamics and poverty: Evidence from China and India. IFPRI, DSG Discussion Paper 23, Washington, D.C.
  • Fan, S., Zhang, L., & Zhang, X. (2000). Growth and Poverty in Rural China: The Role of Public Investments. EPTD Discussion Paper No. 66.
  • Gomanee, K., Morrissey, O., Mosley, P., & Verschoor, A. (2003). Aid, Pro-Poor Government Spending and Welfare.University of Nottingham: CREDIT Research Paper, no.03/03
  • Güriş S. (2015). Stata ile Panel Veri Modelleri, Der Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Hidalgo-Hidalgo, M., & Iturbe-Ormaetxe, I. (2014). Long-run Effects on Poverty of Public Expenditure in Education. WP-AD 2014-06.
  • Huang, J., Zhang, Q., & Rozelle, S. (2008). Economic Growth, the Nature of Growth and Poverty Reduction in Rural China. China Economic Journal, 1(1), 107-122, DOI:10.1080/17538960701770547
  • Imai, Katsushi S., Cheng, W., & Gaiha, R. (2017). Dynamic and Long-Term Linkages Among Agricultural and Non-Agricultural Growth, Inequality and Poverty in Developing Countries. International Review of Applied Economics, 31(3), 318-338, DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2016.1249833
  • Jingdong L., Rehman A., Khatoon R., Iqbal M. S., & Hussain I. (2016). Effect of Agricultural Growth on Poverty Reduction, its Importance and Suggestions. Transylvanian Review, 24(5), 449-454.
  • John M.A. & Dankawu M.U. (2018). Effect of Agriculture on Poverty Reduction in Nigeria: A Multifaceted Approach Using Principal Component Analysis. IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Science (IOSR-JHSS), 23(6), 35-43.
  • Kumar A., Kumar P., &Sharma A. N. (2011). Rural Poverty and Agricultural Growth in India: Implications for the Twelfth Five Year Plan. Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 66(3), 269-278.
  • Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24.
  • Loayza, N. V., & Raddatz, C. (2006). The Composition of Growth Matters for Poverty Alleviation. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4077. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank.
  • Lofgren, H., & Robinson, S. (2004). Public Spending, Growth and Poverty Alleviation in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis. Mimeo, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C.
  • Shirima, L.L. Alleviating Poverty Through Innovation and Entrepreneurship (I & E), Research Paper. International Business and Entrepreneurship Department of Management, Warrington College of Business, University of Florida, P.O. Box 117165, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
  • Mathur, S. C. (1985). Rural poverty and agricultural performance in India, The Journal of Development Studies, 21:3, 422-428, DOI: 10.1080/00220388508421952
  • Mehmood, R., & Sadiq, S. (2010). The Relationship between Government Expenditure and Poverty: A Cointegration Analysis. Romanian Journal of Fiscal Policy, 1(1), 29-37.
  • Mosley, P., Hudson, J., & Verschoor, A.（2004). Aid, Poverty Reduction and the New Conditionality. The Economic Journal, 114(496), 217-43.
  • Ostensen, M. (2007). The Effects of Local Government Spending on Poverty in Norway. Department of Economics of University of Oslo.
  • Pesaran, H. & Shin, Y. (1999). An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration. In Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century; The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium Cambridge University Press, chapter. 4, 371-413.
  • Pesaran, H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Working Paper, No: 0435 University of Cambridge.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265–312.
  • Rehman, A., Jingdong, L., Khatoon, R., Iqbal, M. S., & Hussain. I. (2016). Effect of Agricultural Growth on Poverty Reduction, its Importance and Suggestions. Transylvanian Review, 24 (5). http://transylvanianreview.org/index.php/Trr/article/view/226
  • Stringer R. (2001). How Important are the 'Non-Traditional' Economic Roles of Agriculture in Development? Discussion Paper No. 0118, Adelaide University, May.
  • Wujung V.,A., & Mbella M.,E. (2014). Entrepreneurship and Poverty Reduction in Cameroon: A Vector Autoregressive Approach. Archives of Business Research, 2(5),1-11. World Bank, 2019. www.worldbank.org
  • Yanya, M., Abdul-Hakim, R., &Abdul-Razak, N.A. (2013). Does Entrepreneurship Bring an Equal Society and Alleviate Poverty? Evidence from Thailand, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 91, 331 – 340
  • Yassin, A., & Hafiez, A.A. (2013). Entrepreneurship Development and Poverty Reduction. Empirical Survey from Somalia. American International Journal of Social Science, 2(3), 108-113.
There are 33 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Economics
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Zamira Oskonbaeva 0000-0002-3711-6918

Seyil Najımudınova 0000-0003-3848-6635

Publication Date May 7, 2021
Submission Date June 4, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2021Volume: 22 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Oskonbaeva, Z., & Najımudınova, S. (2021). Geçiş Ülkelerinde Tarımın Yoksulluk Üzerindeki Etkisi: Panel ARDL Modeli. Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 22(1), 163-178. https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.741186
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