Araştırma Makalesi
Yıl 2019,
Cilt: 20 Sayı: 2, 390 - 408, 30.11.2019
Öz
Petrol gelirleri İran ekonomisi açısından büyük önem
arz etmektedir. İran’ın toplam devlet gelirlerinin %60’a yakınını ve ihracatın
yaklaşık %90’lık kısmını petrol ve gaz gelirleri oluşturmaktadır. İran’a
uygulanan ambargolar ticari faaliyetlerini önemli oranda sınırlandırmış, 2008
sonrasında petrol fiyatlarında yaşanan düşüşler de İran’ın gelirlerini
azaltmıştır. Bu kapsamda, çalışmanın amacı petrol gelirleriyle milli gelir arasındaki
uzun dönem ilişkinin tespit edilmesidir. 1964-2016 dönemine ait veriler ele
alınarak, değişkenler arasındaki ilişki ARDL sınır testi yöntemiyle araştırılmıştır.
Petrol gelirlerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerinde uzun dönemli etkisi olduğu teorik
olarak kabul edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre petrol gelirlerinin büyüme
üzerinde uzun dönemde etkin olduğu saptanmıştır.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
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ISS Working Paper Series / General Series, 540, 1-41.Dizaji, S. F. (2014). The effects of oil shocks on government expenditures and government revenues nexus (with an application to Iran’s sanctions). Economic Modelling, 40, 299-313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2014.04.012Dizaji, S. F., & Farzanegan, M. R. (t.y.). CESifo Working Paper no. 4620, 39.EIA. (2018, Nisan). Iran - International - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Geliş tarihi 17 Ekim 2018, gönderen https://www.eia.gov/beta/international/country.php?iso=IRNEngle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276.Esfahani, H. S., Mohaddes, K., & Pesaran, M. H. (2013). Oil exports and the Iranian economy. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 53(3), 221-237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2012.07.001Esfahani, H. S., Mohaddes, K., & Pesaran, M. H. (2014). An empirical growth model for major oil exporters. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 29(1), 1-21.Farzanegan, M. R. (2011). Oil revenue shocks and government spending behavior in Iran. Energy Economics, 33(6), 1055-1069. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.05.005Farzanegan, M. R., & Markwardt, G. (2009). The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy. Energy Economics, 31(1), 134-151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2008.09.003Garkaz, M., Azma, F., & Jafari, R. (2012). Relationship between oil revenues and government expenditure using wavelet analysis method: Evidence from Iran, 2, 10.Grier, K. B., & Tullock, G. (1989). An empirical analysis of cross-national economic growth, 1951–1980. Journal of monetary economics, 24(2), 259-276.Hassan, K., & Abdullah, A. (2015). Effect of Oil Revenue and the Sudan Economy: Econometric Model for Services Sector GDP. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 172, 223-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.01.358Ilyas, M., Ahmad, H. 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(CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4118). CESifo Group Munich. Geliş tarihi gönderen https://ideas.repec.org/p/ces/ceswps/_4118.htmlMohaddes, K., & Pesaran, M. H. (t.y.). CESifo Working Paper no. 4118, 39.Neary, J. P., & Van Wijnbergen, S. (1986). Natural resources and the macroeconomy. Cambridge, MA. US: MIT Press.Olayungbo, D. O., & Adediran, K. A. (2017). Effects of Oil Revenue and Institutional Quality on Economic Growth with an ARDL Approach. Energy and Policy Research, 4(1), 44-54. https://doi.org/10.1080/23815639.2017.1307146Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (1996). Testing for the’Existence of a Long-run Relationship’. Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. 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Toplam 1 adet kaynakça vardır.
Ayrıntılar
| Birincil Dil | Türkçe |
|---|---|
| Bölüm | Makaleler |
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 30 Kasım 2019 |
| Gönderilme Tarihi | 22 Ocak 2019 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2019Cilt: 20 Sayı: 2 |
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